What is a good escalation rate for a commercial lease?
Around 3% a year is common. It compounds fast: 3% reaches about a 30% increase by year ten, and 4% nearly doubles the rent over fifteen years.
A flat annual escalation of around 3% is common, but the rate matters far more than it looks because it compounds.
A 3% annual escalation on a $30 rate reaches roughly $39 by year ten, a 30% increase built in from day one. A 4% escalation nearly doubles the rent over fifteen years. Some leases tie escalations to an index instead of a flat rate, which can run higher in inflationary periods. When reviewing a proposal, weigh the escalation rate as heavily as the starting rate: a low opening rate with a steep escalation can cost more over the term than a higher rate that stays flatter. Where you can, negotiate a lower rate or a cap.
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